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Share Market Views By Experts
“Each one is his own.” We are experiencing this every moment of our life. Likewise in the share market we come across such situations when we observe different experts giving different opinions on the same topic. A listener’s intelligence is reflected by the number of conflicting points of view he can entertain simultaneously on the same topic.
Let’s share what different stock market experts or rather the stock market gurus have their say on the markets for year ending 2011.
According to Shankar Sharma (The big bear of the stock markets) the markets have worsened since the beginning of the year since the souring prices takes the sheen off India’s growth miracle. Moreover the European Sovereign credit crisis has spread the panic all over. He expects markets to fall 16% or to 15000 by the year end.
He does not expect stock markets to touch the 2007 & 08 January highs again in near future. Rather than calling it a negative bias he calls it a boring market with no sharp ups or downs in it. To justify this he talks about attrition by way of downgrading of CAPEX, investment, GDP and the rate cycle.
According ...
... to Ramesh Damani markets should perform better and he is bullish after a 3-6 months consolidation phase. The Debt crisis and other relevant events have hit the markets but as of now the markets are range-bound and are not likely to touch any lifetime highs or lows. One can be stock specific as the individual stocks are performing better as compared to the Market as a whole.
Ramdeo Agrawal honestly states that he has no idea where the markets will land, after the US debt crisis. Currently he expects markets to remain sluggish but not negative .He also states that one can initiate value picks in the current chaos and is the right time to shop. So instead of asking whether to buy or not just ask yourself what to buy.
Our very own Investor guru, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala doesn’t find the 2011 US crisis as bad as the 2008 crisis as in 2008 world was not prepared. 2008 crash was nothing but the end of 20 years Bull Run. Earnings growth is also better as compared to the 2008 and Investors are not leveraged and prepared for it. India being partly isolated from the rest of the world, it has a resilience to grow. In the short term markets will have to suffer from the pain but definitely recover in the long run.
The monsoon, Government action on reforms, Oil prices correct to control the inflation, Government to come up with some policy majors like land acquisition bill, GST, DTC etc. can help encourage investors to invest.
After making a new low, it might give a short rise and then a correction. If the correction makes a higher bottom then we can expect positivity.
To sum it up, he suggests investors to wait and watch as the markets are highly volatile and instead of anticipating the support see where it actually takes the support.
Confused????? Don’t be. Just follow the one whom you have been…..Trust but verify or else follow yourself.
What’s your view on the markets??????????
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