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Sports Picks-handicapping For The Everyday Bettor
Four very important areas to focus on when betting NFL games.
1. NFL Parity - The NFL makes parity among teams its focus every year. On any given weekend any team can win. Why not get some points with your Sports picks?
2. A Win is a Win - Unlike college football most teams (except New England) do not try and run the score up in games. A large percentage of lines are covered by teams closing gaps late in games. There is no poll of voters to impress.
3. No Respect - Obviously, vegas is very aware to the trend of betting favorites. It's the same concept every time, if I had to bet my mortgage I would take Pittsburgh -7.5. Your average bettor can't help but take the favorite, but the professionals know how to scout the underdogs.
4. The Point-spread Matters Less than You Think - Historically, the point-spread matters in the NFL only about 16% of the time. In other words, 84% of the time, the team that covers the spread also wins. If you couple this with great research you can really find some great advantages in the NFL.
When you couple these four very important principles in betting pro football, ...
... you will see why underdogs are typically a very good play. The idea is to be able find large advantages on underdogs consistently.
Obviously, you will like to incorporate a mix of underdogs and favorites into your selections on a weekly basis. However, good research and good statistics will typically find more advantages underdogs with great potential.
In the NFL, home dogs that have solid defenses and an ability to rush the football, will simpy find ways to pull the line. If you can find where the public is laying there bets, simply following the line movements wlill reveal some strong underdogs. You know you have become a very effective sports handicapping when you sort through your line sheet on Monday morning and you are able free sports picks games before the lines jump. When the lines move on your side you are what the public considers Sharp Money.
Effective sports betting incorporates an ability to fade the public, understand trap games, a courage to take weak teams in strange situations, calculate important statistics and trends, and our personal favorite, know what's going on inside the locker rooms.
For more resources about Sports picks or about sports handicapping or even about free sports picks, please review these links.
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