Intellinews - Albania Country Report

By Author: Bharat Book
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The IntelliNews Albania Country Report is a monthly report, covering the major macroeconomic indicators and trends in Albania, as well as important political developments. Prepared by local analysts, it provides the most accurate data, updated regularly according to the data changes noted by the whole range of statistics sources. It will save the time you would need to track the figures and sources independently and will provide you with thorough analysis.

Summary
The World Bank, the EBRD and Austria’s Raiffeisen announced their forecasts for Albania’s 2012 GDP growth in the last month. The World Bank maintained its GDP growth forecast for Albania for this year at 2%,the EBRD revised upwards its estimate to 1.2% from 1%, while Raiffeisen cut its outlook to 2.5% from 3%. The Albanian government also released its growth forecast putting this year’s real GDP growth at 4.3%. http://www.bharatbook.com/market-research-reports/albania-market-research-report/intellinews-albania-country-report.html

Consumer ...
... price inflation in the country eased for the third straight month in January 2012 as prices increased by 1.6% y/y, slower than December’s rise of 1.7%. Food prices remained the main growth driver. market research

The retail sales index decreased by 5.6% in the third quarter of 2011. The index dropped for a third consecutive quarter after registering a 2.1% y/y fall in Q1 and a 6.9% y/y fall in Q2 2011

Albania’s unemployment rate remained flat on the quarter at 13.3% in Q3 2011. The number of unemployed Albanians edged down by 0.8% y/y to 142,082, while the country’s labour force rose by 1.2% to 1.072mn, helped by increased hiring at private companies.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................... 3
REAL SECTOR ............. 4
1. GDP .................. 4
World Bank keeps Albania’s 2012 GDP forecast at 2%. .... 4
Raiffeisen cuts Albania’s 2012 GDP forecast to 2.5%. ....... 4
EBRD improves Albania’s 2012 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%. ............. 4
. ......... 5
Albania’s government confirms its 2012 GDP forecast of 4.3% ............. 5
Albania’s economic sentiment deteriorates in Q4 2011 ..... 5
2. Inflation .................. 6
Albania’s January CPI slows down to 1.6% ... 6
3. Industry and Trade 7
Albania’s industrial sales grow 11.5% y/y in Q3 2011. ....... 7
Albania’s retail sales fall 5.6% y/y in Q3 2011. ................... 7
4. Labour Market ....... 8
Albania’s Q3 unemployment remains flat q/q at 13.3%. ..... 8
FISCAL SECTOR .......... 8
Albania public debt at 58.9% of GDP at end-2011 - finance minister. .... 8
Albania’s consolidated budget deficit rises to 3.4% of GDP in 2011. ..... 8
FINANCIAL SECTOR .... 9
Albania’s insurance market grows by 2.3% y/y in 2011. .... 9
Albanian banks tighten lending rules for businesses in Q4 2011. .......... 9
EXTERNAL SECTOR .. 10
Albania’s foreign trade gap widens to 26.1% of GDP in 2011. ............. 10

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Intellinews - Albania Country Report

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